题目内容

On September 29, 1998, Hurricane Georges made landfall in Biloxi, Mississippi, after devastating Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and several islands of the Caribbean with torrential rains and winds up to 160 km/h (100 mph). Few people lost
their lives along the Gulf Coast of the United States, although hundreds died in the Caribbean.
This was a very different outcome from 1900, when a powerful Gulf Coast hurricane made an unexpected direct hit on Galveston, Texas, killing at least 6,000 people. Vastly improved hurricane warnings explain the different circumstances at either end of the 20th century residents of Galveston had no advance warning that a storm was approaching, while residents of Biloxi had been warned days in advance of Georges's approach, allowing for extensive safety precautions.
At the same time that people in Biloxi were thankful for the advance warning, some residents of New Orleans, Louisiana, 120 km (75 mi) to the west, were less satisfied. A day before Georges made landfall, forecasters were predicting that the hurricane had a good chance of striking New Orleans. Because much of New Orleans lies below sea level, the city is at risk for flooding. In addition, because New Orleans has a large population in vulnerable locations, emergency management officials must begin evacuations well before a storm strikes. But evacuation costs money: businesses close, tourists leave, and citizens take precautionary measures. The mayor of New Orleans estimated that his city's preparations for Georges cost more than $ 50 million. After the full fury of Georges missed New Orleans, some residents questioned the value of the hurricane forecasts in the face of such high costs.
The differing views on the early warnings for Hurricane Georges illustrate some of the complexities involved in predicting disasters. Disaster prediction is more than just forecasting the future with advanced technology it is also a process of providing scientific information to the government officials and other decision makers who must respond to those predictions.
In general, the process has three phases. First, there is the challenge of forecasting the event itself. In the case of Georges, scientists worked to predict the future direction and strength of the hurricane days in advance.
A second important challenge is communicating the forecast to decision makers. Because forecasts are always uncertain, a central factor in disaster predictions is communicating this uncertainty. Uncertainty is usually described in terms of odds or probabilities, much like daily weather forecasts. The media plays an important role in communicating predictions and their uncertainty to the public.
The third part of the process is the use of predictive information by decision makers. Even the most accurate information is of little value if the decision maker does not use it appropriately, for example in deciding whether to order an evacuation. If there is a breakdown in any of these three phases of prediction, the result is increased danger and a higher risk of loss of life.
According to the passage, the purpose of disaster prediction is to

A. demonstrate the power of advanced technology.
B. bring out the truth between life and death.
C. prevent such natural disasters from happening.
D. reduce human casualties and loss of property.

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President Clinton received Salman Rushdie probably because

A. Salman Rushdie is a professor at M. I.
B. Salman Rushdie is a peace-loving fighter.
C. the US is against the government of Iran.
D. the US is against state-supported murder.

The three American officials arriving in Baghdad

A. were allowed to work unimpeded.
B. were forbidden to work at all.
C. were asked to leave.
D. were promptly detained.

SECTION C NEWS BROADCAST
Directions: In this section you will hear everything ONCE ONLY. Listen carefully and then answer the questions that follow. At the end of each news item, you will be given 10 seconds to answer the questions.
听力原文: The United States Defense Department says genetic testing has identified the human remains found in the wreckage of a US Air Force jet that was missing on a training flight nearly a month ago. A Defense Department statement said the remains are identified as belonging to the pilot flying the A-10 jet which left the training formation and disappeared in circumstances which have still not been established. The wreckage of the aircraft which was armed with bombs was found last week in Snell in the Rocky Mountains in Colorado.
The disappearance of the A-10 jet was due to

A. unknown reasons.
B. a training flight.
C. the training formation.
D. four bombs.

White House officials confirm the President met briefly with Mr Rushdie, Wednesday. It was their first such meeting. A White House official, who was asked not to be identified, said the Indian-born author spent just under an hour here. He said US officials assured Mr Rushdie the administration supports freedom of expression and he reiterated the US call for Iran to lift its death edict against Mr Rushdie. At the same time the US official pointed out the US call on Iran should not be misinterpreted as opposition to Islam but opposition to intolerance and state-supported murder. Mr Rushdie has been in hiding for four years but appeared unexpectedly at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to receive an honorary' post as visiting Professor of the Humanities. Iran has charged Satanic Verses is blasphemous.
Salman Rushdie is _______ by origin.

A. British
B. American
C. Indian
D. Iranian

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